Week 12 · College Football

South Florida vs FAU prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives South Florida a 64% chance to beat FAU in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#46 American Athletic Conference

South Florida

5% to make the 12

@

#86 American Athletic Conference

FAU

1% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadSouth Florida −5.5Model
Projected scoreSouth Florida 29FAU 23

South Florida is the pick by 5.5, but it's live — 64% on the model.

Chaos meter72 · LIVE
72/ 100
CalmMayhem

South Florida

64%

to win

FAU

36%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
South Florida
vs
FAU
#18Offense · EPA/play#76
#30Defense · EPA/play#114
#38Explosiveness#7
#22Success rate#98
100%Returning production21%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Both sidelines

via Google News

What South Florida is hearing

What FAU is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.