Week 12 · College Football
NC State vs Florida State prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives Florida State a 61% chance to beat NC State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.
#51 Atlantic Coast Conference
NC State
11% to make the 12
#36 Atlantic Coast Conference
Florida State
8% to make the 12
The model's read
Florida State is the pick by 4.5, but it's live — 61% on the model.
NC State
39%
to win
Florida State
61%
to win
Who wins?
Be the firstTap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.
Think you know better?
Pick this game against the spread
Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksNC StateFlorida StateNational ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Series history
44 meetings all-timeFlorida State leads 27–17
Last met 2025 · NC State 21–11 Florida State— NC State won
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat NC State is hearing
What Florida State is hearing
Get The Drop
One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.
No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.