Week 5 · College Football
Virginia vs Florida State prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives Florida State a 61% chance to beat Virginia in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.
#43 Atlantic Coast Conference
Virginia
11% to make the 12
#36 Atlantic Coast Conference
Florida State
8% to make the 12
The model's read
Florida State is the pick by 4.5, but it's live — 61% on the model.
Virginia
39%
to win
Florida State
61%
to win
Who wins?
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Pick this game against the spread
Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksVirginiaFlorida StateNational ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Series history
20 meetings all-timeFlorida State leads 15–5
Last met 2025 · Virginia 46–38 Florida State— Virginia won
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat Virginia is hearing
What Florida State is hearing
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