Week 10 · College Football

Oklahoma vs Florida prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Florida a 54% chance to beat Oklahoma in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#12 Southeastern Conference

Oklahoma

22% to make the 12

@

#20 Southeastern Conference

Florida

18% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadFlorida −1.5Model
Projected scoreOklahoma 25 — Florida 27

A coin flip. The model nudges Florida by a field goal — 54% to win.

Chaos meter92 · TOSS-UP
92/ 100
CalmMayhem

Oklahoma

46%

to win

Florida

54%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Oklahoma
vs
Florida
#100Offense · EPA/play#87
#4Defense · EPA/play#81
#65Explosiveness#133
#97Success rate#62
53%Returning production55%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

2 meetings all-time

All square 1–1

Last met 2020 · Oklahoma 55–20 Florida (neutral)— Oklahoma won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Oklahoma is hearing

What Florida is hearing

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