#20 Southeastern Conference

Florida

Projected 7–5 · 7 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does Florida win? The Ninjas project 7.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

18%

Title

Win conf

SOS

#19

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1vs FAU90%
W2vs Campbell99%
W3@ Auburn53%
W4vs Ole Miss56%
W5@ Missouri52%
W6vs South Carolina68%
W7@ Texas19%
W9vs Georgia32%
W10vs Oklahoma52%
W11@ Kentucky70%
W12vs Vanderbilt78%
W13@ Florida State60%

Chaos meter63 · HEATING UP

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to Texas → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: 18%
16-team field: 25%
24-team field: 36%
Win conference: 5%
National title: 1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 18% → 18%

Pre 18%Aug 18%

Up next

vs FAU· W190% WIN

Matchup preview & buzz →

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where Florida finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

#63

+3.5 · off #89 / def #43

Talent composite

#12

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

55%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#89

EPA / play#87
Success rate#62
Explosiveness#133

Defense#43

EPA / play#81
Success rate#92

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3★ avg

Portal out

3.2★ avg

Net

-9

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.