Week 4 · College Football

Ole Miss vs Florida prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Florida a 56% chance to beat Ole Miss in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#15 Southeastern Conference

Ole Miss

21% to make the 12

@

#20 Southeastern Conference

Florida

18% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadFlorida −2.5Model
Projected scoreOle Miss 25Florida 27

A coin flip. The model nudges Florida by a field goal — 56% to win.

Chaos meter87 · TOSS-UP
87/ 100
CalmMayhem

Ole Miss

44%

to win

Florida

56%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Ole Miss
vs
Florida
#11Offense · EPA/play#87
#49Defense · EPA/play#81
#45Explosiveness#133
#12Success rate#62
18%Returning production55%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

27 meetings all-time

All square 13–13–1

Last met 2025 · Ole Miss 3424 FloridaOle Miss won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Ole Miss is hearing

What Florida is hearing

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