#15 Southeastern Conference

Ole Miss

Projected 8–4 · 8 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does Ole Miss win? The Ninjas project 8.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

21%

Title

Win conf

SOS

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1vs Louisville68%
W2vs Charlotte98%
W3vs LSU51%
W4@ Florida44%
W6@ Vanderbilt67%
W7vs Missouri69%
W8@ Texas20%
W9vs Auburn70%
W10vs Georgia41%
W11@ Oklahoma39%
W12vs Wofford99%
W13vs Mississippi St85%

Chaos meter63 · HEATING UP

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to Texas → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: 21%
16-team field: 29%
24-team field: 41%
Win conference: 6%
National title: 1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 21% → 21%

Pre 21%Aug 21%

Up next

vs Louisville· W168% WIN

Matchup preview & buzz →

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where Ole Miss finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

+24 · off #3 / def #20

Talent composite

#21

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#16

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

18%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#3

EPA / play#11
Success rate#12
Explosiveness#45

Defense#20

EPA / play#49
Success rate#39

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3.4★ avg

Portal out

3.4★ avg

Net

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.