Week 6 · College Football
Boise State vs Fresno State prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives Boise State a 56% chance to beat Fresno State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.
#44 Mountain West Conference
Boise State
3% to make the 12
#72 Mountain West Conference
Fresno State
2% to make the 12
The model's read
A coin flip. The model nudges Boise State by a field goal — 56% to win.
Boise State
56%
to win
Fresno State
44%
to win
Who wins?
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Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksBoise StateFresno StateNational ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Series history
27 meetings all-timeBoise State leads 17–10
Last met 2025 · Boise State 7–30 Fresno State— Fresno State won
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat Boise State is hearing
What Fresno State is hearing
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