Week 9 · College Football

Oregon St vs Fresno State prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Fresno State a 81% chance to beat Oregon St in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#119 Pac-12 Conference

Oregon St

1% to make the 12

@

#72 Mountain West Conference

Fresno State

2% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadFresno State −13.5Model
Projected scoreOregon St 19 — Fresno State 33

Fresno State should handle it: 13.5-point edge, 81% to win.

Chaos meter38 · LEAN
38/ 100
CalmMayhem

Oregon St

19%

to win

Fresno State

81%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Oregon St
vs
Fresno State
#121Offense · EPA/play#103
#88Defense · EPA/play#31
#135Explosiveness#88
#68Success rate#105
52%Returning production17%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Oregon St is hearing

What Fresno State is hearing

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