Week 3 · College Football
Bowling Green vs Iowa State prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives Iowa State a 88% chance to beat Bowling Green in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.
#125 Mid-American Conference
Bowling Green
0% to make the 12
#62 Big 12 Conference
Iowa State
4% to make the 12
The model's read
Iowa State is a heavy favorite — 88% in the model. Upset alert if it's close.
Bowling Green
12%
to win
Iowa State
88%
to win
Who wins?
Be the firstTap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.
Think you know better?
Pick this game against the spread
Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksBowling GreenIowa StateNational ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Series history
2 meetings all-timeIowa State leads 2–0
Last met 1979 · Iowa State 38–10 Bowling Green— Iowa State won
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat Bowling Green is hearing
What Iowa State is hearing
Get The Drop
One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.
No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.