Week 13 · College Football

Kansas State vs Iowa State prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Kansas State a 64% chance to beat Iowa State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#30 Big 12 Conference

Kansas State

20% to make the 12

@

#62 Big 12 Conference

Iowa State

4% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadKansas State −5.5Model
Projected scoreKansas State 29 — Iowa State 23

Kansas State is the pick by 5.5, but it's live — 64% on the model.

Chaos meter72 · LIVE
72/ 100
CalmMayhem

Kansas State

64%

to win

Iowa State

36%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Kansas State
vs
Iowa State
#37Offense · EPA/play#52
#56Defense · EPA/play#35
#6Explosiveness#89
#92Success rate#38
69%Returning production58%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

109 meetings all-time

Iowa State leads 55–50–4

Last met 2025 · Kansas State 21–24 Iowa State (neutral)— Iowa State won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Kansas State is hearing

What Iowa State is hearing

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