Week 5 · College Football

West Virginia vs Iowa State prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Iowa State a 59% chance to beat West Virginia in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#67 Big 12 Conference

West Virginia

4% to make the 12

@

#62 Big 12 Conference

Iowa State

4% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadIowa State −3.5Model
Projected scoreWest Virginia 24 — Iowa State 28

A coin flip. The model nudges Iowa State by a field goal — 59% to win.

Chaos meter82 · TOSS-UP
82/ 100
CalmMayhem

West Virginia

41%

to win

Iowa State

59%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
West Virginia
vs
Iowa State
#116Offense · EPA/play#52
#72Defense · EPA/play#35
#84Explosiveness#89
#119Success rate#38
26%Returning production58%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

12 meetings all-time

All square 6–6

Last met 2024 · West Virginia 16–28 Iowa State— Iowa State won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What West Virginia is hearing

What Iowa State is hearing

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