#67 Big 12 Conference

West Virginia

Projected 5–7 · 5 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does West Virginia win? The Ninjas project 5.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

Title

<1%

Win conf

SOS

#46

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1vs Coastal Carolina84%
W2vs UT Martin96%
W3vs Virginia37%
W4vs Oklahoma State55%
W5@ Iowa State40%
W6vs Arizona37%
W7vs Cincinnati54%
W8@ TCU30%
W10@ Texas Tech8%
W11vs Kansas56%
W12vs Houston31%
W13@ Utah18%

Chaos meter39 · SIMMERING

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to Texas Tech → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: 4%
16-team field: 6%
24-team field: 12%
Win conference: 1%
National title: <1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 4% → 4%

Pre 4%Aug 4%

Up next

vs Coastal Carolina· W184% WIN

Matchup preview & buzz →

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where West Virginia finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

#93

-6.8 · off #102 / def #91

Talent composite

#63

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#43

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

26%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#102

EPA / play#116
Success rate#119
Explosiveness#84

Defense#91

EPA / play#72
Success rate#50

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3★ avg

Portal out

3★ avg

Net

-16

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.