Week 4 · College Football

Middle Tennessee vs Jax State prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Jax State a 81% chance to beat Middle Tennessee in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#132 Conference USA

Middle Tennessee

0% to make the 12

@

#101 Conference USA

Jax State

1% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadJax State −13.5Model
Projected scoreMiddle Tennessee 19 — Jax State 33

Jax State should handle it: 13.5-point edge, 81% to win.

Chaos meter38 · LEAN
38/ 100
CalmMayhem

Middle Tennessee

19%

to win

Jax State

81%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Middle Tennessee
vs
Jax State
#85Offense · EPA/play#53
#111Defense · EPA/play#70
#79Explosiveness#57
#70Success rate#47
99%Returning production84%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Middle Tennessee is hearing

What Jax State is hearing

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