Week 1 · College Football

Liberty vs James Madison prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives James Madison a 66% chance to beat Liberty in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#77 Conference USA

Liberty

1% to make the 12

@

#33 Sun Belt Conference

James Madison

9% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadJames Madison −6.5Vegas
Projected scoreLiberty 23 — James Madison 29

James Madison is the pick by 6.5, but it's live — 66% on the model.

Chaos meter67 · LIVE
67/ 100
CalmMayhem

Liberty

34%

to win

James Madison

66%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Liberty
vs
James Madison
#68Offense · EPA/play#31
#106Defense · EPA/play#6
#92Explosiveness#37
#52Success rate#36
100%Returning production78%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

6 meetings all-time

James Madison leads 5–1

Last met 2025 · Liberty 13–31 James Madison— James Madison won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Liberty is hearing

What James Madison is hearing

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