Week 5 · College Football

Marshall vs James Madison prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives James Madison a 79% chance to beat Marshall in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#69 Sun Belt Conference

Marshall

1% to make the 12

@

#33 Sun Belt Conference

James Madison

9% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadJames Madison −12.5Model
Projected scoreMarshall 20 — James Madison 32

James Madison should handle it: 12.5-point edge, 79% to win.

Chaos meter42 · LEAN
42/ 100
CalmMayhem

Marshall

21%

to win

James Madison

79%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Marshall
vs
James Madison
#72Offense · EPA/play#31
#73Defense · EPA/play#6
#130Explosiveness#37
#49Success rate#36
100%Returning production78%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

4 meetings all-time

All square 2–2

Last met 2025 · Marshall 23–35 James Madison— James Madison won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Marshall is hearing

What James Madison is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.