Week 9 · College Football

Troy vs James Madison prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives James Madison a 84% chance to beat Troy in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#88 Sun Belt Conference

Troy

1% to make the 12

@

#33 Sun Belt Conference

James Madison

9% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadJames Madison −15.5Model
Projected scoreTroy 18 — James Madison 34

James Madison should handle it: 15.5-point edge, 84% to win.

Chaos meter31 · LEAN
31/ 100
CalmMayhem

Troy

16%

to win

James Madison

84%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Troy
vs
James Madison
#114Offense · EPA/play#31
#51Defense · EPA/play#6
#40Explosiveness#37
#117Success rate#36
33%Returning production78%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

2 meetings all-time

James Madison leads 2–0

Last met 2025 · James Madison 31–14 Troy— James Madison won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Troy is hearing

What James Madison is hearing

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