Week 12 · College Football

Arizona vs Kansas State prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Kansas State a 61% chance to beat Arizona in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#25 Big 12 Conference

Arizona

12% to make the 12

@

#30 Big 12 Conference

Kansas State

20% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadKansas State −4.5Model
Projected scoreArizona 24 — Kansas State 28

Kansas State is the pick by 4.5, but it's live — 61% on the model.

Chaos meter77 · LIVE
77/ 100
CalmMayhem

Arizona

39%

to win

Kansas State

61%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Arizona
vs
Kansas State
#69Offense · EPA/play#37
#26Defense · EPA/play#56
#51Explosiveness#6
#66Success rate#92
56%Returning production69%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

9 meetings all-time

Arizona leads 6–2–1

Last met 2025 · Arizona 23–17 Kansas State— Arizona won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Arizona is hearing

What Kansas State is hearing

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