Week 6 · College Football

Houston vs Kansas State prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Kansas State a 56% chance to beat Houston in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#18 Big 12 Conference

Houston

17% to make the 12

@

#30 Big 12 Conference

Kansas State

20% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadKansas State −2.5Model
Projected scoreHouston 25 — Kansas State 27

A coin flip. The model nudges Kansas State by a field goal — 56% to win.

Chaos meter87 · TOSS-UP
87/ 100
CalmMayhem

Houston

44%

to win

Kansas State

56%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Houston
vs
Kansas State
#101Offense · EPA/play#37
#47Defense · EPA/play#56
#78Explosiveness#6
#79Success rate#92
105%Returning production69%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

2 meetings all-time

All square 1–1

Last met 2024 · Houston 24–19 Kansas State— Houston won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Houston is hearing

What Kansas State is hearing

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