Week 10 · College Football

Oklahoma State vs Kansas State prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Kansas State a 75% chance to beat Oklahoma State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#65 Big 12 Conference

Oklahoma State

4% to make the 12

@

#30 Big 12 Conference

Kansas State

20% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadKansas State −10.5Model
Projected scoreOklahoma State 21Kansas State 31

Kansas State should handle it: 10.5-point edge, 75% to win.

Chaos meter50 · LEAN
50/ 100
CalmMayhem

Oklahoma State

25%

to win

Kansas State

75%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Oklahoma State
vs
Kansas State
#135Offense · EPA/play#37
#127Defense · EPA/play#56
#111Explosiveness#6
#133Success rate#92
45%Returning production69%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

69 meetings all-time

Oklahoma State leads 43–26

Last met 2025 · Oklahoma State 614 Kansas StateKansas State won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Oklahoma State is hearing

What Kansas State is hearing

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