Week 10 · College Football

UCF vs Kansas prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Kansas a 61% chance to beat UCF in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#73 Big 12 Conference

UCF

4% to make the 12

@

#63 Big 12 Conference

Kansas

4% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadKansas −4.5Model
Projected scoreUCF 24 — Kansas 28

Kansas is the pick by 4.5, but it's live — 61% on the model.

Chaos meter77 · LIVE
77/ 100
CalmMayhem

UCF

39%

to win

Kansas

61%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
UCF
vs
Kansas
#83Offense · EPA/play#34
#53Defense · EPA/play#117
#11Explosiveness#128
#100Success rate#13
31%Returning production41%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

2 meetings all-time

Kansas leads 2–0

Last met 2025 · UCF 20–27 Kansas— Kansas won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What UCF is hearing

What Kansas is hearing

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