Week 2 · College Football

Alabama vs Kentucky prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Alabama a 75% chance to beat Kentucky in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#14 Southeastern Conference

Alabama

31% to make the 12

@

#58 Southeastern Conference

Kentucky

4% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadAlabama −10.5Model
Projected scoreAlabama 31 — Kentucky 21

Alabama should handle it: 10.5-point edge, 75% to win.

Chaos meter50 · LEAN
50/ 100
CalmMayhem

Alabama

75%

to win

Kentucky

25%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Alabama
vs
Kentucky
#38Offense · EPA/play#109
#28Defense · EPA/play#79
#48Explosiveness#127
#56Success rate#59
43%Returning production27%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

42 meetings all-time

Alabama leads 39–2–1

Last met 2023 · Kentucky 21–49 Alabama— Alabama won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Alabama is hearing

What Kentucky is hearing

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