#58 Southeastern Conference

Kentucky

Projected 5–7 · 5 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does Kentucky win? The Ninjas project 5.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

Title

<1%

Win conf

SOS

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1vs Youngstown State97%
W2vs Alabama23%
W3@ Texas A&M12%
W4vs South Alabama83%
W5@ South Carolina26%
W6vs LSU23%
W7@ Oklahoma15%
W8vs Vanderbilt52%
W10@ Tennessee19%
W11vs Florida30%
W12@ Missouri25%
W13vs Louisville45%

Chaos meter20 · CALM

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to Texas A&M → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: 4%
16-team field: 6%
24-team field: 10%
Win conference: 1%
National title: <1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 4% → 4%

Pre 4%Aug 4%

Up next

vs Youngstown State· W197% WIN

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where Kentucky finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

#66

+1.8 · off #80 / def #48

Talent composite

#27

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#29

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

27%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#80

EPA / play#109
Success rate#59
Explosiveness#127

Defense#48

EPA / play#79
Success rate#98

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3.2★ avg

Portal out

3★ avg

Net

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.