Week 11 · College Football

Florida vs Kentucky prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Florida a 69% chance to beat Kentucky in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#20 Southeastern Conference

Florida

18% to make the 12

@

#58 Southeastern Conference

Kentucky

4% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadFlorida −7.5Model
Projected scoreFlorida 30 — Kentucky 22

Florida is the pick by 7.5, but it's live — 69% on the model.

Chaos meter63 · LIVE
63/ 100
CalmMayhem

Florida

69%

to win

Kentucky

31%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Florida
vs
Kentucky
#87Offense · EPA/play#109
#81Defense · EPA/play#79
#133Explosiveness#127
#62Success rate#59
55%Returning production27%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

76 meetings all-time

Florida leads 54–22

Last met 2025 · Kentucky 38–7 Florida— Kentucky won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Florida is hearing

What Kentucky is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.