Week 4 · College Football

South Alabama vs Kentucky prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Kentucky a 81% chance to beat South Alabama in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#106 Sun Belt Conference

South Alabama

1% to make the 12

@

#58 Southeastern Conference

Kentucky

4% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadKentucky −13.5Model
Projected scoreSouth Alabama 19 — Kentucky 33

Kentucky should handle it: 13.5-point edge, 81% to win.

Chaos meter38 · LEAN
38/ 100
CalmMayhem

South Alabama

19%

to win

Kentucky

81%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
South Alabama
vs
Kentucky
#75Offense · EPA/play#109
#121Defense · EPA/play#79
#100Explosiveness#127
#76Success rate#59
25%Returning production27%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Both sidelines

via Google News

What South Alabama is hearing

What Kentucky is hearing

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