Week 11 · College Football

Middle Tennessee vs Liberty prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Liberty a 86% chance to beat Middle Tennessee in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#132 Conference USA

Middle Tennessee

0% to make the 12

@

#77 Conference USA

Liberty

1% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadLiberty −16.5Model
Projected scoreMiddle Tennessee 18 — Liberty 34

Liberty should handle it: 16.5-point edge, 86% to win.

Chaos meter28 · LEAN
28/ 100
CalmMayhem

Middle Tennessee

14%

to win

Liberty

86%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Middle Tennessee
vs
Liberty
#85Offense · EPA/play#68
#111Defense · EPA/play#106
#79Explosiveness#92
#70Success rate#52
99%Returning production100%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

3 meetings all-time

Liberty leads 3–0

Last met 2024 · Middle Tennessee 17–37 Liberty— Liberty won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Middle Tennessee is hearing

What Liberty is hearing

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