Week 6 · College Football
Florida State vs Louisville prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives Louisville a 59% chance to beat Florida State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.
#36 Atlantic Coast Conference
Florida State
8% to make the 12
#39 Atlantic Coast Conference
Louisville
13% to make the 12
The model's read
A coin flip. The model nudges Louisville by a field goal — 59% to win.
Florida State
41%
to win
Louisville
59%
to win
Who wins?
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Think you know better?
Pick this game against the spread
Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksFlorida StateLouisvilleNational ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Series history
22 meetings all-timeFlorida State leads 17–5
Last met 2023 · Florida State 16–6 Louisville (neutral)— Florida State won
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat Florida State is hearing
What Louisville is hearing
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