Week 12 · College Football

Pittsburgh vs Louisville prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Louisville a 61% chance to beat Pittsburgh in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#38 Atlantic Coast Conference

Pittsburgh

11% to make the 12

@

#39 Atlantic Coast Conference

Louisville

13% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadLouisville −4.5Model
Projected scorePittsburgh 24Louisville 28

Louisville is the pick by 4.5, but it's live — 61% on the model.

Chaos meter77 · LIVE
77/ 100
CalmMayhem

Pittsburgh

39%

to win

Louisville

61%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Pittsburgh
vs
Louisville
#62Offense · EPA/play#82
#27Defense · EPA/play#21
#19Explosiveness#97
#99Success rate#37
75%Returning production46%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

22 meetings all-time

All square 11–11

Last met 2025 · Pittsburgh 2734 LouisvilleLouisville won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Pittsburgh is hearing

What Louisville is hearing

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