Week 11 · College Football

Appalachian State vs Marshall prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Marshall a 71% chance to beat Appalachian State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#103 Sun Belt Conference

Appalachian State

0% to make the 12

@

#69 Sun Belt Conference

Marshall

1% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadMarshall −8.5Model
Projected scoreAppalachian State 22Marshall 30

Marshall is the pick by 8.5, but it's live — 71% on the model.

Chaos meter58 · LIVE
58/ 100
CalmMayhem

Appalachian State

29%

to win

Marshall

71%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Appalachian State
vs
Marshall
#108Offense · EPA/play#72
#86Defense · EPA/play#73
#104Explosiveness#130
#87Success rate#49
14%Returning production100%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Appalachian State is hearing

What Marshall is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.