Week 8 · College Football

South Alabama vs Marshall prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Marshall a 71% chance to beat South Alabama in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#106 Sun Belt Conference

South Alabama

1% to make the 12

@

#69 Sun Belt Conference

Marshall

1% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadMarshall −8.5Model
Projected scoreSouth Alabama 22Marshall 30

Marshall is the pick by 8.5, but it's live — 71% on the model.

Chaos meter58 · LIVE
58/ 100
CalmMayhem

South Alabama

29%

to win

Marshall

71%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
South Alabama
vs
Marshall
#75Offense · EPA/play#72
#121Defense · EPA/play#73
#100Explosiveness#130
#76Success rate#49
25%Returning production100%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

1 meeting all-time

South Alabama leads 1–0

Last met 2023 · South Alabama 280 MarshallSouth Alabama won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What South Alabama is hearing

What Marshall is hearing

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