Week 10 · College Football
Ball State vs UMass prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives UMass a 64% chance to beat Ball State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.
#136 Mid-American Conference
Ball State
0% to make the 12
@
#130 Mid-American Conference
UMass
0% to make the 12
The model's read
SpreadUMass −5.5Model
Projected scoreBall State 23 — UMass 29
UMass is the pick by 5.5, but it's live — 64% on the model.
Chaos meter72 · LIVE
72/ 100
CalmMayhem
Ball State
36%
to win
UMass
64%
to win
Who wins?
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Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksBall StateUMass#133Offense · EPA/play#136
#87Defense · EPA/play#128
#29Explosiveness#108
#136Success rate#134
8%Returning production76%
National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat Ball State is hearing
What UMass is hearing
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