Week 1 · College Football

Arkansas St vs Memphis prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Memphis a 77% chance to beat Arkansas St in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#109 Sun Belt Conference

Arkansas St

0% to make the 12

@

#57 American Athletic Conference

Memphis

3% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadMemphis −11.5Vegas
Projected scoreArkansas St 20 — Memphis 32

Memphis should handle it: 11.5-point edge, 77% to win.

Chaos meter46 · LEAN
46/ 100
CalmMayhem

Arkansas St

23%

to win

Memphis

77%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Arkansas St
vs
Memphis
#110Offense · EPA/play#24
#97Defense · EPA/play#78
#121Explosiveness#33
#75Success rate#39
59%Returning production12%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Arkansas St is hearing

What Memphis is hearing

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