Week 8 · College Football

East Carolina vs Memphis prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Memphis a 59% chance to beat East Carolina in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#54 American Athletic Conference

East Carolina

2% to make the 12

@

#57 American Athletic Conference

Memphis

3% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadMemphis −3.5Model
Projected scoreEast Carolina 24 — Memphis 28

A coin flip. The model nudges Memphis by a field goal — 59% to win.

Chaos meter82 · TOSS-UP
82/ 100
CalmMayhem

East Carolina

41%

to win

Memphis

59%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
East Carolina
vs
Memphis
#49Offense · EPA/play#24
#16Defense · EPA/play#78
#118Explosiveness#33
#30Success rate#39
51%Returning production12%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

26 meetings all-time

East Carolina leads 18–8

Last met 2025 · East Carolina 31–27 Memphis— East Carolina won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What East Carolina is hearing

What Memphis is hearing

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