Week 6 · College Football

UAB vs Memphis prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Memphis a 87% chance to beat UAB in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#122 American Athletic Conference

UAB

0% to make the 12

@

#57 American Athletic Conference

Memphis

3% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadMemphis −17.5Model
Projected scoreUAB 17 — Memphis 35

Memphis is a heavy favorite — 87% in the model. Upset alert if it's close.

Chaos meter26 · CHALK
26/ 100
CalmMayhem

UAB

13%

to win

Memphis

87%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
UAB
vs
Memphis
#58Offense · EPA/play#24
#135Defense · EPA/play#78
#39Explosiveness#33
#58Success rate#39
73%Returning production12%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

18 meetings all-time

UAB leads 11–7

Last met 2025 · UAB 31–24 Memphis— UAB won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What UAB is hearing

What Memphis is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.