Week 11 · College Football

Duke vs Miami prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Miami a 92% chance to beat Duke in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#70 Atlantic Coast Conference

Duke

4% to make the 12

@

#6 Atlantic Coast Conference

Miami

57% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadMiami −21.5Vegas
Projected scoreDuke 15 — Miami 37

Miami is a heavy favorite — 92% in the model. Upset alert if it's close.

Chaos meter16 · CHALK
16/ 100
CalmMayhem

Duke

8%

to win

Miami

92%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Duke
vs
Miami
#25Offense · EPA/play#32
#113Defense · EPA/play#12
#26Explosiveness#120
#31Success rate#20
18%Returning production13%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

21 meetings all-time

Miami leads 16–5

Last met 2024 · Miami 53–31 Duke— Miami won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Duke is hearing

What Miami is hearing

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