#6 Atlantic Coast Conference

Miami

Projected 10–2 · 10 proj. wins

Playoff:IN

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does Miami win? The Ninjas project 10.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

57%

Title

Win conf

50%

SOS

#60

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1@ Stanford95%
W2vs Florida A&M>99%
W3@ Wake Forest91%
W4vs C Michigan98%
W5@ Clemson79%
W7vs Florida State90%
W8vs Pittsburgh91%
W9@ North Carolina91%
W10@ Notre Dame20%
W11vs Duke94%
W12vs Virginia Tech95%
W13vs Boston College97%

Chaos meter54 · SIMMERING

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin the Atlantic Coast Conference → the auto-bid and you're in.
RISKLose to Notre Dame → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSTwo losses → now you'd need chaos elsewhere.

Full odds

Make the 12: 57%
16-team field: 67%
24-team field: 79%
Win conference: 50%
National title: 6%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 57% → 57%

Pre 57%Aug 57%

Up next

@ Stanford· W195% WIN

Matchup preview & buzz →

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where Miami finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

+20.7 · off #22 / def #7

Talent composite

#15

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#13

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

13%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#22

EPA / play#32
Success rate#20
Explosiveness#120

Defense#7

EPA / play#12
Success rate#13

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3.5★ avg

Portal out

3★ avg

Net

-6

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.