Week 12 · College Football

Oregon vs Michigan State prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Oregon a 93% chance to beat Michigan State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#3 Big Ten Conference

Oregon

65% to make the 12

@

#61 Big Ten Conference

Michigan State

2% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadOregon −22.5Model
Projected scoreOregon 37 — Michigan State 15

Oregon is a heavy favorite — 93% in the model. Upset alert if it's close.

Chaos meter14 · CHALK
14/ 100
CalmMayhem

Oregon

93%

to win

Michigan State

7%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Oregon
vs
Michigan State
#12Offense · EPA/play#90
#13Defense · EPA/play#102
#20Explosiveness#99
#16Success rate#72
19%Returning production69%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

8 meetings all-time

Oregon leads 5–3

Last met 2024 · Oregon 31–10 Michigan State— Oregon won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Oregon is hearing

What Michigan State is hearing

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