#2 Big Ten Conference
Oregon
Projected 10–2 · 10.3 proj. wins
Playoff:IN
Playoff
64%
Title
12%
Win conf
25%
SOS
#27
Schedule & outlook
- W1vs Boise State95%
- W2@ Oklahoma State93%
- W3vs Portland State100%
- W4@ USC69%
- W6vs UCLA94%
- W7vs Nebraska93%
- W8@ Illinois86%
- W9vs Northwestern95%
- W10@ Ohio State46%
- W11vs Michigan80%
- W12@ Michigan State94%
- W13vs Washington89%
Chaos meter58 · HEATING UP
CalmMayhem
Path to the playoff
- LOCKWin out → a top-four seed and a first-round bye.
- RISKLose to Ohio State → the margin for error vanishes.
- CHAOSTwo losses → now you'd need chaos elsewhere.
Full odds
- Make the 12
- 64%
- 16-team field
- 73%
- 24-team field
- 83%
- Win conference
- 25%
- National title
- 12%
Rooting guide
Beyond Oregon's own games, here's who to scoreboard-watch — the teams chasing the same playoff spots.
Win the BIG TEN
The rivals between you and the league's bids — root against them.
Indiana63%
Ohio State52%
USC32%
At-large dogfight
Closest teams to you in the national race — every loss helps.
Miami58%
Texas49%
Texas Tech46%
Notre Dame83%
The buzz
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Board 74 · Polls 83 · Model 69 · Updated Jun 21, 2026