#48 Big Ten Conference
Michigan State
Projected 4–8 · 4.5 proj. wins
Playoff:OUT
Playoff
2%
Title
0%
Win conf
0%
SOS
#29
Schedule & outlook
- W1vs Toledo74%
- W2vs E Michigan86%
- W3@ Notre Dame2%
- W4vs Nebraska40%
- W5@ Wisconsin32%
- W6vs Illinois37%
- W7vs Northwestern50%
- W8@ UCLA31%
- W10@ Michigan10%
- W11vs Washington29%
- W12vs Oregon6%
- W13@ Rutgers50%
Chaos meter28 · CALM
CalmMayhem
Path to the playoff
- LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
- RISKLose to Notre Dame → the margin for error vanishes.
- CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.
Full odds
- Make the 12
- 2%
- 16-team field
- 4%
- 24-team field
- 8%
- Win conference
- 0%
- National title
- 0%
Rooting guide
Beyond Michigan State's own games, here's who to scoreboard-watch — the teams chasing the same playoff spots.
Win the BIG TEN
The rivals between you and the league's bids — root against them.
Oregon64%
Indiana63%
Ohio State52%
At-large dogfight
Closest teams to you in the national race — every loss helps.
The buzz
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Board 49 · Polls 49 · Model 49 · Updated Jun 21, 2026