Week 10 · College Football
Michigan State vs Michigan prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives Michigan a 86% chance to beat Michigan State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.
#61 Big Ten Conference
Michigan State
2% to make the 12
#7 Big Ten Conference
Michigan
31% to make the 12
The model's read
Michigan should handle it: 16.5-point edge, 86% to win.
Michigan State
14%
to win
Michigan
86%
to win
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Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksMichigan StateMichiganNational ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Series history
118 meetings all-timeMichigan leads 75–38–5
Last met 2025 · Michigan State 20–31 Michigan— Michigan won
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat Michigan State is hearing
What Michigan is hearing
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