Week 13 · College Football

New Mexico St vs Middle Tennessee prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives New Mexico St a 54% chance to beat Middle Tennessee in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#124 Conference USA

New Mexico St

0% to make the 12

@

#132 Conference USA

Middle Tennessee

0% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadNew Mexico St −1.5Model
Projected scoreNew Mexico St 27 — Middle Tennessee 25

A coin flip. The model nudges New Mexico St by a field goal — 54% to win.

Chaos meter92 · TOSS-UP
92/ 100
CalmMayhem

New Mexico St

54%

to win

Middle Tennessee

46%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
New Mexico St
vs
Middle Tennessee
#128Offense · EPA/play#85
#41Defense · EPA/play#111
#58Explosiveness#79
#124Success rate#70
56%Returning production99%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Both sidelines

via Google News

What New Mexico St is hearing

What Middle Tennessee is hearing

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