Week 10 · College Football

Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Western Kentucky a 71% chance to beat Middle Tennessee in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#84 Conference USA

Western Kentucky

0% to make the 12

@

#132 Conference USA

Middle Tennessee

0% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadWestern Kentucky −8.5Model
Projected scoreWestern Kentucky 30 — Middle Tennessee 22

Western Kentucky is the pick by 8.5, but it's live — 71% on the model.

Chaos meter58 · LIVE
58/ 100
CalmMayhem

Western Kentucky

71%

to win

Middle Tennessee

29%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Western Kentucky
vs
Middle Tennessee
#70Offense · EPA/play#85
#39Defense · EPA/play#111
#95Explosiveness#79
#53Success rate#70
33%Returning production99%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

18 meetings all-time

Western Kentucky leads 12–6

Last met 2025 · Western Kentucky 42–26 Middle Tennessee— Western Kentucky won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Western Kentucky is hearing

What Middle Tennessee is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.