#84 Conference USA

Western Kentucky

Projected 7–5 · 7 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does Western Kentucky win? The Ninjas project 7.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

<1%

Title

<1%

Win conf

16%

SOS

#49

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1@ Nevada70%
W2@ Georgia4%
W3@ Indiana2%
W4vs Mercyhurst92%
W5@ New Mexico St63%
W6vs Missouri St72%
W7@ Sam Houston71%
W9vs Delaware67%
W10@ Middle Tennessee73%
W11vs Jax State60%
W12@ Liberty35%
W13vs Kennesaw St63%

Chaos meter23 · CALM

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to Indiana → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: <1%
16-team field: 1%
24-team field: 2%
Win conference: 16%
National title: <1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 0% → 0%

Pre 0%Aug 0%

Up next

@ Nevada· W170% WIN

Matchup preview & buzz →

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where Western Kentucky finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

#69

+1.6 · off #56 / def #78

Talent composite

#100

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#96

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

33%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#56

EPA / play#70
Success rate#53
Explosiveness#95

Defense#78

EPA / play#39
Success rate#17

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

2.9★ avg

Portal out

3★ avg

Net

-3

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.