Week 5 · College Football

Michigan vs Minnesota prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Michigan a 79% chance to beat Minnesota in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#7 Big Ten Conference

Michigan

31% to make the 12

@

#50 Big Ten Conference

Minnesota

5% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadMichigan −12.5Model
Projected scoreMichigan 32 — Minnesota 20

Michigan should handle it: 12.5-point edge, 79% to win.

Chaos meter42 · LEAN
42/ 100
CalmMayhem

Michigan

79%

to win

Minnesota

21%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Michigan
vs
Minnesota
#47Offense · EPA/play#105
#52Defense · EPA/play#69
#129Explosiveness#125
#33Success rate#102
40%Returning production44%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

106 meetings all-time

Michigan leads 78–25–3

Last met 2024 · Michigan 27–24 Minnesota— Michigan won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Michigan is hearing

What Minnesota is hearing

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