Week 5 · College Football

Alabama vs Mississippi St prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Alabama a 77% chance to beat Mississippi St in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

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#14 Southeastern Conference

Alabama

31% to make the 12

@

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#60 Southeastern Conference

Mississippi St

3% to make the 12

Who wins?

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Mississippi St23% model saysAlabama77% model says

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks

Alabama

vs

Mississippi St

#38Offense · EPA/play#81

#28Defense · EPA/play#107

#48Explosiveness#44

#56Success rate#74

43%Returning production42%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.