#60 Southeastern Conference

Mississippi St

Projected 5–7 · 5 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does Mississippi St win? The Ninjas project 5.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

Title

<1%

Win conf

SOS

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1vs UL Monroe91%
W2@ Minnesota39%
W3@ South Carolina24%
W4vs Missouri36%
W5vs Alabama21%
W7@ LSU12%
W8vs Oklahoma23%
W9@ Texas6%
W10vs Vanderbilt49%
W11vs Auburn37%
W12vs Tennessee Tech96%
W13@ Ole Miss15%

Chaos meter21 · CALM

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to Texas → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: 3%
16-team field: 4%
24-team field: 9%
Win conference: 1%
National title: <1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 3% → 3%

Pre 3%Aug 3%

Up next

vs UL Monroe· W191% WIN

Matchup preview & buzz →

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where Mississippi St finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

#58

+4.1 · off #39 / def #84

Talent composite

#24

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#28

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

42%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#39

EPA / play#81
Success rate#74
Explosiveness#44

Defense#84

EPA / play#107
Success rate#94

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3.1★ avg

Portal out

3.1★ avg

Net

-13

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.