Week 5 · College Football

Florida vs Missouri prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Florida a 51% chance to beat Missouri in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#20 Southeastern Conference

Florida

18% to make the 12

@

#28 Southeastern Conference

Missouri

13% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadFlorida −0.5Model
Projected scoreFlorida 26Missouri 26

A coin flip. The model nudges Florida by a field goal — 51% to win.

Chaos meter97 · TOSS-UP
97/ 100
CalmMayhem

Florida

51%

to win

Missouri

49%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Florida
vs
Missouri
#87Offense · EPA/play#35
#81Defense · EPA/play#10
#133Explosiveness#76
#62Success rate#35
55%Returning production20%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

13 meetings all-time

Missouri leads 7–6

Last met 2023 · Missouri 3331 FloridaMissouri won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Florida is hearing

What Missouri is hearing

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