Week 12 · College Football

Kentucky vs Missouri prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Missouri a 73% chance to beat Kentucky in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#58 Southeastern Conference

Kentucky

4% to make the 12

@

#28 Southeastern Conference

Missouri

13% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadMissouri −9.5Model
Projected scoreKentucky 21 — Missouri 31

Missouri is the pick by 9.5, but it's live — 73% on the model.

Chaos meter54 · LIVE
54/ 100
CalmMayhem

Kentucky

27%

to win

Missouri

73%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Kentucky
vs
Missouri
#109Offense · EPA/play#35
#79Defense · EPA/play#10
#127Explosiveness#76
#59Success rate#35
27%Returning production20%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

14 meetings all-time

Kentucky leads 9–5

Last met 2023 · Kentucky 21–38 Missouri— Missouri won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Kentucky is hearing

What Missouri is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.