Week 4 · College Football

Appalachian State vs NC State prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives NC State a 84% chance to beat Appalachian State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#103 Sun Belt Conference

Appalachian State

0% to make the 12

@

#51 Atlantic Coast Conference

NC State

11% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadNC State −15.5Model
Projected scoreAppalachian State 18NC State 34

NC State should handle it: 15.5-point edge, 84% to win.

Chaos meter31 · LEAN
31/ 100
CalmMayhem

Appalachian State

16%

to win

NC State

84%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Appalachian State
vs
NC State
#108Offense · EPA/play#27
#86Defense · EPA/play#92
#104Explosiveness#9
#87Success rate#67
14%Returning production95%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Appalachian State is hearing

What NC State is hearing

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