Week 9 · College Football

California vs NC State prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives NC State a 61% chance to beat California in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#64 Atlantic Coast Conference

California

7% to make the 12

@

#51 Atlantic Coast Conference

NC State

11% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadNC State −4.5Model
Projected scoreCalifornia 24 — NC State 28

NC State is the pick by 4.5, but it's live — 61% on the model.

Chaos meter77 · LIVE
77/ 100
CalmMayhem

California

39%

to win

NC State

61%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
California
vs
NC State
#93Offense · EPA/play#27
#75Defense · EPA/play#92
#64Explosiveness#9
#89Success rate#67
23%Returning production95%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

1 meeting all-time

NC State leads 1–0

Last met 2024 · California 23–24 NC State— NC State won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What California is hearing

What NC State is hearing

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